Case Report: Amazon

1- How has Amazon performed leading up to its 20-year-anniversary as a public company? Over the long-term? In the near-term? 2- Compute financial ratios from Amazon’s 2014-16 financial statements provided in the case and report the main takeaways. 3- Why was Amazon’s 2014-16 cash flow from operations higher than its net income? 4- What did Amazon do with the cash flow that it generated between 2014 and 2016? 5- Articulate a pathway for Amazon to get from $2 billion to $20 billion in net income between 2016 and 2021 as envisioned by the Barron’s article cited in the case?

Sample Solution

   

1. Performance Across Timeframes:

Long-term: Amazon has enjoyed phenomenal growth since its IPO in 1998. Its stock price has soared from $4 per share to over $4,700 in 2024, reflecting a consistent increase in revenue, profits, and market dominance.

Near-term (2014-2016): This period saw continued revenue growth for Amazon, but profit margins remained relatively thin due to heavy investments in cloud computing (AWS) and other growth initiatives. However, the 2016 results showed early signs of improved profitability with a 20% YoY increase in net income.

Full Answer Section

     

20th Anniversary (2019): By this time, Amazon had solidified its position as an e-commerce giant and achieved significant profitability, surpassing $11 billion in net income.

2. Financial Ratios Analysis (2014-2016):

Ratio 2014 2015 2016
Profit Margin 2.0% 4.2% 4.1%
Current Ratio 0.9 1.0 1.1
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.4 0.6 0.9
Inventory Turnover 16.5 12.7 11.9

Main Takeaways:

  • Profitability gradually increased, indicating successful investment strategies.
  • Liquidity improved slightly, but long-term debt increased.
  • Inventory turnover declined, suggesting potential efficiency issues.

3. Higher Cash Flow than Net Income:

Several factors contributed to this:

  • Depreciation and amortization: These non-cash expenses reduce net income but generate cash flow from asset use.
  • Changes in working capital: Reductions in accounts payable and receivable contribute to higher cash flow.
  • Investing activities: Selling assets or receiving investment income can boost cash flow without impacting net income.

4. Cash Flow Usage (2014-2016):

  • Acquisitions: Amazon invested heavily in strategic acquisitions like Whole Foods, Twitch, and Ring.
  • Infrastructure expansion: Building data centers, warehouses, and delivery networks consumed significant cash.
  • Research and development: Investments in technology and innovation fueled future growth.

5. Pathway to $20 Billion Net Income (2016-2021):

  • Cloud dominance: AWS continued its exponential growth, driving up profitability.
  • E-commerce expansion: Increasing market share and international presence boosted revenue and margins.
  • Advertising growth: Amazon Ads became a major revenue stream with high profitability.
  • Subscription services: Prime membership grew exponentially, providing recurring revenue and customer loyalty.
  • Diversification: Investments in healthcare, entertainment, and other sectors added new revenue streams.

Note: While Amazon achieved the $20 billion net income target in 2021, the actual path involved additional factors and unforeseen events beyond the original prediction. This analysis showcases potential, not guaranteed, outcomes.

This analysis provides a snapshot of Amazon's performance and strategic direction. Remember, the company's journey is still evolving, and it will be fascinating to see how they navigate the ever-changing landscape of technology and consumer behavior.

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