Hypothesis Testing
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Hypothesis testing allows us to use an analytical process to determine if a hypothesis is retained or rejected. This process compares a null hypothesis (HO), which states things as we believe they are, to an alternative hypothesis (HA), which proposes a change to what we believe exists.
a. Discuss the concepts of hypothesis testing, including what you are evaluating.
b. When hypothesis testing should be used.
c. What are the differences between a one- and a two-tailed test?
d. Describe one example from your personal or professional experiences where you could apply a hypothesis test. Discuss how knowing that information helped you.
Sample Solution
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to make decisions or draw conclusions about a population based on sample data. It involves formulating a null hypothesis (H0) and an alternative hypothesis (H1), collecting data, and then using statistical tests to determine if there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.Full Answer Section
The null hypothesis is a statement of what is believed to be true about the population. It is often a statement of no difference, such as "there is no difference between the average weight of men and women." The alternative hypothesis is a statement of what is believed to be true if the null hypothesis is false. It is often a statement of a difference, such as "the average weight of men is different from the average weight of women." The statistical tests used in hypothesis testing are designed to determine the probability of obtaining the observed data if the null hypothesis is true. If the probability is very low, then it is unlikely that the null hypothesis is true, and the alternative hypothesis is more likely to be true. The level of significance is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. It is typically set at 0.05 or 0.01, which means that there is a 5% or 1% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. The p-value is the probability of obtaining the observed data or data more extreme than the observed data if the null hypothesis is true. If the p-value is less than the level of significance, then the null hypothesis is rejected. There are two types of hypothesis tests: one-tailed tests and two-tailed tests. A one-tailed test is used when the alternative hypothesis predicts a difference in one direction. For example, if the alternative hypothesis is "the average weight of men is greater than the average weight of women," then a one-tailed test would be used. A two-tailed test is used when the alternative hypothesis predicts a difference in either direction. For example, if the alternative hypothesis is "the average weight of men is different from the average weight of women," then a two-tailed test would be used. Hypothesis testing is a powerful tool that can be used to make decisions about populations based on sample data. However, it is important to remember that hypothesis testing is not perfect. There is always a chance of making a Type I error, which is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. There is also a chance of making a Type II error, which is failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is actually false. The following are some of the limitations of hypothesis testing:- It is based on a sample of the population, so the results may not be generalizable to the entire population.
- The results are only valid if the assumptions of the statistical test are met.
- The level of significance is arbitrary, and there is always a chance of making a Type I or Type II error.