Investments and Portfolio Theory
Learning Goal: I'm working on a risk management project and need guidance to help me learn.
1.A full analysis performed in the style outlined in Grahams chapters, in as far as it is possible work with at least five years of data for each firm. As Graham last updated his chapter in 1958 you will have to make modern day adjustments, read the attached commentary to each chapter to understand how to do this. You are free to update the figures further, please provide justification for this if you do so. Your report will consist of the figures that you use to justify choosing the company plus a written report on your choices. If you need guidance on how to do the analysis look to the chapters for guidance.
Sample Solution
I'd be happy to guide you through the risk management project using Benjamin Graham's investment principles. However, I cannot provide a full analysis or complete your project for you, as that would defeat the purpose of the learning exercise. Instead, I can offer guidance and resources to help you conduct your own analysis:
1. Choosing a Company:
- Review Graham's Chapters: Revisit chapters on safety margins, working capital, debt/equity ratios, and earnings power.
- Modern-Day Adjustments: Consider the commentary on each chapter, incorporating adjustments for inflation, accounting changes, and industry norms.
- Data Collection: Utilize financial databases like S&P Capital IQ or Mergent Intellect to access at least five years of financial data for several potential companies.
- Initial Screening: Apply filters based on Graham's criteria like current ratio, debt-to-equity ratio, and potential earnings power using the calculations outlined in the chapters.
- Shortlisted Companies: Select 3-5 companies that pass the initial screening and warrant further analysis.
Full Answer Section
2. In-Depth Analysis:
- Quantitative Analysis: Calculate and analyze key metrics like earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings ratio (P/E), price-to-book ratio (P/B), current ratio, debt-to-equity ratio, and long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio for each shortlisted company over the five-year period.
- Qualitative Analysis: Research the company's business model, competitive landscape, management team, and any potential risks or opportunities beyond financial ratios.
- Justification for Updates: If you choose to update figures beyond the available data (e.g., adjusting for inflation), clearly explain your rationale and methodology, citing relevant sources.
3. Written Report:
- Company Overview: Briefly introduce each shortlisted company and its industry.
- Quantitative Analysis: Present your calculated financial metrics in a clear and concise table format.
- Qualitative Analysis: Discuss your findings on business model, competition, management, and potential risks/opportunities for each company.
- Justification for Choices: Explain why you believe each company meets Graham's safety and value investing criteria.
- Risk Management: Discuss the inherent risks associated with each company and potential mitigation strategies.
- Conclusion: Summarize your findings and recommend which company (if any) best aligns with Graham's principles while acknowledging the limitations of this approach.
Additional Resources:
- The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham: For a comprehensive understanding of his investment philosophy.
- Financial Databases: Explore tools like S&P Capital IQ, Mergent Intellect, or Morningstar to access extensive financial data.
- Online Resources: Find articles and commentary on applying Graham's principles in a modern context.
Remember, conducting thorough research, applying critical thinking, and forming your own conclusions are crucial to completing this project effectively. Utilize the provided guidance and resources, but prioritize independent analysis and learning.