PDB

Substantively explain the strategic warning. Clearly explain the issue’s relevance to the President of the United States. Provide a forecast of the likelihood of the event occurring and any indicators that such a likelihood is increasing. Appropriately provide a forecast of how the issue is likely to change in the next 24-72 hours from the Intelligence Cut-off Date (ICOD); Detail the substantive evidence and analytic process that yielded items.

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