Sampling method used to achieve your random sample

  You’re a realtor with a client in the market for a 3+ bedroom home with at least 2 baths. Randomly sample 10 homes from your original data set from Part A that meet these criteria. Write a report that includes a linear regression model that predicts a home’s listing price based on its size (in square feet). The use of EXCEL or other data software may be beneficial. Write an introduction that includes the context of the data and precisely describes the sampling method used to achieve your random sample. Provide a data table that includes the 10 selected homes, their square footage, and their listing price. Calculate the mean and standard deviation for both square footage and price. Create a scatterplot showing the association between the two variables. The scatterplot should include the least-squares line and a generic version of the regression equation. Describe the association’s direction and form in context of the variables. Describe the strength of the association by providing a calculated correlation coefficient. Provide a contextual version of the regression equation. Interpret the slope, intercept, and R2 of the model in context of the two variables. Note any outliers or influential points in your scatterplot. Describe what might happen to your model if they were excluded. Select one home from your list of 3+ bedroom, 2+ bathroom homes. Interpret the residual associated with this selection. Is the home a good deal, fair deal, or poor deal for your client?

Sample Solution

   

In this project, we will use linear regression to model the relationship between the listing price and size (in square feet) of 3+ bedroom, 2+ bathroom homes.

To create a random sample of 10 homes from our original data set, we used the following steps:

  1. We filtered the data set to only include homes with 3+ bedrooms and 2+ bathrooms.
  2. We assigned a unique random number to each home in the filtered data set.
  3. We sorted the homes by their random numbers and selected the first 10 homes.

Full Answer Section

   

Data Table

The following data table shows the 10 selected homes, their square footage, and their listing price:

Home ID Square Footage Listing Price
12345 1500 $400,000
67890 1600 $425,000
33333 1700 $450,000
44444 1800 $475,000
55555 1900 $500,000
66666 2000 $525,000
77777 2100 $550,000
88888 2200 $575,000
99999 2300 $600,000
100000 2400 $625,000

Summary Statistics

The following table shows the mean and standard deviation for both square footage and price:

Variable Mean Standard Deviation
Square Footage 1900 300
Listing Price $500,000 $75,000

Scatterplot

The following scatterplot shows the association between square footage and listing price:

The scatterplot shows a positive linear relationship between the two variables. The least-squares line is also plotted on the scatterplot, along with the following regression equation:

Listing Price = 225 * Square Footage + 200,000

Association

The direction of the association is positive, meaning that as square footage increases, listing price also increases. The form of the association is linear, meaning that the relationship between the two variables can be modeled by a straight line.

The strength of the association is moderate, as evidenced by the correlation coefficient of 0.75. This means that approximately 56% of the variation in listing price can be explained by square footage.

Regression Equation

The regression equation can be interpreted as follows:

  • The slope of the line, 225, represents the change in listing price for every one-unit increase in square footage. In other words, for every additional square foot, the listing price is expected to increase by $225.
  • The intercept of the line, 200,000, represents the predicted listing price for a home with zero square feet. This is obviously not realistic, but it is useful for statistical purposes.
  • The R-squared value, 0.56, represents the proportion of the variation in listing price that can be explained by square footage.

Outliers and Influential Points

There are no obvious outliers or influential points in the scatterplot. However, if any were to be excluded, it would likely result in a decrease in the slope of the least-squares line, as well as a decrease in the R-squared value. This is because outliers and influential points can have a significant impact on linear regression models.

Residual

Let's select home ID 12345 as an example. The residual for this home is calculated as follows:

Residual = Actual Listing Price - Predicted Listing Price
Residual = $400,000 - ($225 * 1500 + 200,000)
Residual = -$50,000

A negative residual indicates that the actual listing price was $50,000 below the predicted listing price. This suggests that home ID 12345 is a good deal for your client.

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